Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.187490 0.223425 0.263783 0.312379 0.369216 0.433493 0.511602
2025-04-06 0.131865 0.176993 0.233379 0.308637 0.406036 0.527379 0.689498
2025-04-13 0.100953 0.148311 0.212430 0.304819 0.433612 0.605715 0.851815
2025-04-20 0.084654 0.133981 0.205303 0.314654 0.476462 0.705072 1.049957
2025-04-27 0.077097 0.130017 0.210917 0.341600 0.544833 0.845516 1.319536
2025-05-04 0.068126 0.121838 0.208272 0.354719 0.592982 0.960448 1.563053
2025-05-11 0.057666 0.109128 0.196108 0.350329 0.612169 1.032064 1.746485
2025-05-18 0.047783 0.095515 0.180102 0.336749 0.613728 1.074606 1.886435
2025-05-25 0.039380 0.083010 0.163942 0.320204 0.607404 1.102309 2.003077
2025-06-01 0.035437 0.078292 0.161052 0.326797 0.641877 1.201553 2.249405
2025-06-08 0.030077 0.069759 0.149633 0.315704 0.642437 1.240948 2.393943
2025-06-15 0.027530 0.066660 0.148357 0.323897 0.679788 1.349389 2.671634
2025-06-22 0.024773 0.062820 0.145419 0.329210 0.713849 1.458227 2.966776
2025-06-29 0.021566 0.057382 0.138349 0.325128 0.728973 1.533356 3.207168
2025-07-06 0.018840 0.052541 0.131790 0.321107 0.743502 1.608411 3.454215
2025-07-13 0.017426 0.050694 0.131731 0.331430 0.789562 1.750798 3.848253
2025-07-20 0.017211 0.051927 0.139096 0.359708 0.877987 1.988210 4.456846
2025-07-27 0.016158 0.050694 0.140265 0.373473 0.935312 2.165497 4.955703
2025-08-03 0.014299 0.046823 0.134214 0.368866 0.949800 2.252203 5.269939
2025-08-10 0.012257 0.041981 0.124853 0.354617 0.939729 2.283862 5.467412
2025-08-17 0.010378 0.037209 0.114868 0.337254 0.919857 2.291263 5.611320
2025-08-24 0.009624 0.035839 0.114085 0.344173 0.961074 2.442324 6.092609
2025-08-31 0.008338 0.032423 0.106883 0.332531 0.953576 2.478521 6.312343